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Yemen factions agree to humanitarian pause in war

11/7/2015

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PictureMap of Yemen
Sanaa July 11:  UN envoy to Yemen Ismail Ahmed said that the warring factions in Yemen had agreed to a humanitarian pause to last about a week to the end of Ramadan. The cease fire would allow badly needed aid into the country. The UN has described the situation as a humanitarian disaster with a Saudi-imposed blockade keeping out not just arms but also aid to many parts of the country where the Houthis and their allies have control.

Even as the deadline neared, bombing and clashes continued. Just a few hours after it took effect Saudi warplanes attacked Taiz saying that Houthi troops were continuing to advance in the city. Just recently Al Qaeda in the Arab Peninsula(AQAP) advanced in Taiz and released 1200 prisoners from a Taiz jail. The Houthis claim that they were simply defending themselves in Taiz against the advance of pro-Saudi forces. In spite of several incidents the truce seemed to be holding in most places. One can expect these types of violations in which each side will blame the other. As long as most battles cease,  the aid can begin to move in.

There has been fighting for more than three months of fighting in Yemen between Houthi rebels, AQAP and forces loyal to the government in exile.

The conflict has killed more than 3,000 people. Envoy Ahmed said: "For the humanitarian pause, we are going to start tomorrow evening and we have assurances from all the parties, and we are quite optimistic it will be respected.We have agreed to go ahead, based on two major points. The first is the commitment of all parties not to violate this ceasefire, this humanitarian pause. The second is that humanitarian assistance can reach all parts of Yemen". Ahmed had just completed talks with the Houthis in Sanaa.

Earlier attempts to agree to a cease fired had foundered due to the government in exile of President Hadi insisting that the Houthis withdraw from key cities that they had occupied as a condition of any ceasefire. No doubt the Saudis and other allies told Hadi to agree to a cease fire without any conditions as appears to have happened. Relief agencies claim that more than 80 per cent of the 23 million Yemenis need emergency aid. Those who are able have fled the country. The Saudi blockade and allied militias often block aid to Houthi areas but the Houthis too have tried to disrupt aid or block aid to areas they do not control. At least the humanitarian pause is a step in the right direction. It may also allow time for more discussions between competing groups. However, AQAP will no doubt continue fighting the Houthis whether there is a cease fire or not. The group fought against the government of Hadi when it had control as well.

Sources:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/10/world/middleeast/yemen-truce-agreement-is-reached-un-announces.html?_r=0
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/07/09/uk-yemen-security-idUKKCN0PJ1JD20150709
http://www.democracynow.org/2015/7/9/a_mounting_humanitarian_catastrophe_in_yemen
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Houthi rebels Yemen agree to peace talks

8/6/2015

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PictureUN buildings Geneva Switzerland
Houthi Shiite rebels and the government of President Mansour Hadi, in exile in Saudi Arabia, agreed Friday that they would both attend UN-sponsored peace talks in Geneva on the weekend of June 14.

The talks will aim to end the war and Saudi-led bombardment of Houthi-held areas that so far has resulted in more than 2,000 killed.

A Saudi-led coalition has been bombing the Houthis, who are supported by Iran, but also by members of the Yemeni armed forces loyal to former president Ali Saleh, for over two months now. James Jatras, a former US Senate foreign policy analyst based in Washington claims that so far the bombardment has not achieved Saudi objectives which include reinstating the government of President Hadi and forcing the Houthis to give up the territory they have won so far.

Apart from helping Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula gain more ground as they ally with Sunni tribesmen to confront the Houthi advance, the bombardment has created a humanitarian disaster of frightening proportions:

"UN Emergency Relief Coordinator Stephen O'Brien described the situation confronting the population of the Arab world’s poorest country as “catastrophic,” placing much of the blame on the Saudi-led air strikes that have devastated Yemeni cities, and Saudi Arabia’s blockade of Yemen’s ports, which have prevented not only the arrival of emergency relief supplies but also the basic flow of goods that existed before the war.

“The blockade means it’s impossible to bring anything into the country,” Nuha Abdul Jaber, Oxfam’s humanitarian program director in the Yemeni capital of Sanaa told the Guardian newspaper. “There are lots of ships, with basic things like flour, that are not allowed to approach. The situation is deteriorating, hospitals are now shutting down, without diesel. People are dying of simple diseases. It is becoming almost impossible to survive.”

Earlier attempts at peace talks failed when the Hadi government in exile demanded concessions from the Houthi rebels as a condition of attending. This time, there are no preconditions. Dahllallah a-Shami, a senior member of the political wing of the Houthi rebels said the group would not accept preconditions set by other parties: We accepted the invitation of the United Nations to go to the negotiating table in Geneva without preconditions," said Daifallah al-Shami, a senior member of the rebels' political wing. Ezzedine al-Isbahi, information minister of the Saudi-backed Hadi government reported from Ryadh, the Saudi capital. that it would also send representatives to the talks in Geneva. Al-Isbahi said that the meeting would involve "consultations on implementing Resolution 2216" of the UN Security Council that was passed in April. This resolution imposed an arms embargo on the Houthis and demanded they relinquish seized territory. According to diplomats who attended a closed-door Security Council meeting the meeting will discuss a ceasefire, increased deliveries of humanitarian aid, and agreement on a Houthi withdrawal plan.

There may be difficulties negotiating the withdrawal of the Houthis from territory they have captured unless the Saudis are willing to offer the Houthis a government that they find acceptable. The new vice-president appointed by Hadi may be acceptable to the Houthis as the leader of a unity government but the Houthis took power because earlier negotiations sponsored by the UN had failed to reach agreement on a government acceptable to all sides. Of course, AQAP remains outside any negotiations. The Southern Movement separatists will no doubt demand increased autonomy at the very least as a condition of their agreeing to any proposed government. At present they are fighting against  the Houthis. The group wants a separate state of South Yemen as existed in the past.

Sources:
http://www.npr.org/2015/06/06/412445504/un-led-yemen-peace-talks-are-set-for-june-14
http://news.antiwar.com/2015/06/05/yemen-rebels-govt-both-agree-to-un-peace-talks/
http://wtop.com/politics/2015/06/un-chief-says-yemen-peace-talks-to-resume-june-14-in-geneva/
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Saudis demand civilians leave part of North Yemen

9/5/2015

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PictureYemen President Hadi with John Kerry
Leaflets have been dropped by the Saudi-led bombing coalition that warn residents of a border district to leave as the area is considered a military zone. While the earlier bombing operation Decisive Storm was said to have been completed some time ago and to be replaced by a new stage designed to protect civilians and find a political solution, renewed bombing began just hours after it was scheduled to stop. Bombing has continued ever since. 

The Houthi-controlled area along the Saudi border has witnessed particularly heavy bombing that has escalated since the Houthis shelled Saudi Arabia from Saada province killing ten. The leaflets were dropped in Old Saada city and Saada province. The NGO group Medicins sans Frontiers has members in Old Saada and warned that because of fuel shortages many would be unable to leave the city. The group urged the Saudis not to attack the city as they had five staff working in the hospital.  Brig. Gen. Ahmad Assiri, a spokesperson for the Saudi-led coalition said that people should stay away from Houthi strongholds for their own safety. Assiri said the attacks were aimed at those who planned the attacks on Saudi Arabia.

He said there would be harsh retaliation for the shelling attack by the Houthis on the border city of Najaran.


Strikes appear to be escalating ahead of a humanitarian ceasefire scheduled to begin on May 12 and to last five days. However, Houthi officials claim that they have received no formal notice of the ceasefire and could not respond until they do so. Since the Saudi air strikes began at least 1,200 people have been killed over half civilians according to the UN. Over 300,000 have been displaced and many have fled the country altogether. The crisis began when negotiations for a new government with the Houthi rebels, who had extended their area of control to the capital and west last year, broke down. The president, Mansour Hadi, resigned but later escaped house arrest and fled to Aden where he claimed to be president and tried to set up a government to rival the regime created by the Houthis in Sanaa. He was attacked and fled to Saudi Arabia to the safety of the capital Ryadh where he claims to still be the legitimate president. He has strong supporters including the Gulf Cooperation Council, Saudi Arabia, and also the United States. He allowed drone strikes and was a strong supporter of the US war on terror against groups such as Al Qaeda in the Arab Peninsula (AQAP).

AQAP are enemies not just of Hadi and his government but of the Houthis as well, since the Houthi are a Shia sect and AQAP radical Sunnis. AQAP has taken advantage of the chaos in Yemen to greatly extend their reach and power often in league with local Sunni tribes. They have over-run a number of army bases easily and captured huge amounts of weapons. They now control the province of Hadramawt and its capital Mukalla, a port city.

The US supports a humanitarian pause to deliver aid to conflict areas and US Secretary of State John Kerry has been pressing the Saudis to agree to a temporary ceasefire. A huge problem for the aid effort is that the Saudis insist that they control the distribution of aid. This is totally inconsistent with the UN position that aid should never be delivered by one of the parties to the conflict. If Saudi Arabia distributes the aid it would ensure that aid went only to the areas supporting or under control of their supporters. It would also ensure that Houthis would not agree to a ceasefire.

UN officials have been quite critical of the Saudi-led blockade of Yemeni ports, designed to prevent any weapons from reaching the Houthis. The searches have created huge delays in delivery of fuel and food particular in areas controlled by Houthis. Johannes Van Der Klaauw, UN humanitarian coordinator for Yemen said: “We urgently need a resumption of commercial imports of critical goods, such as fuel, medical supplies and food. Without resumption of commercial imports, all basic services and markets will close down shortly.” In order to prevent an Iranian cargo plane from landing at an airport in the capital Sanaa, the Saudis bombed the runway making it unusable and preventing any aid being delivered using the airport.

Critics claim that there will be no ceasefire and that the Saudi announcement was all meant as a show for Secretary of State Kerry. The "pause" in the Saudi-led operations was never likely to happen in any event because the Saudi foreign ministry made it conditional upon the Houthis disarming which they know will not happen. The Russians earlier called for a ceasefire in the UN Security Council but this was rejected. No doubt the US wants Saudi Arabia to at least make a gesture towards alleviating the humanitarian situation. Since April 21st Operation Restoring Hope which would shift attention to the political process rather than military operations and also protect the people is supposed to be in progress. The bombing never stopped and military operations have escalated with even some special forces now operating in Aden.

There is no sign yet of any political breakthrough. 

Sources:
http://news.yahoo.com/saudi-led-forces-conduct-airstrikes-yemens-saada-063441226.html
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/05/yemenis-ordered-leave-saada-province-150508145754277.html
http://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2015/05/05/saudi-suspends-flights-at-airport-along-yemen-border
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/kerry-hopes-win-pause-yemen-war-heads-talks-30839695
http://news.antiwar.com/2015/05/07/despite-talk-of-humanitarian-pause-saudis-vow-to-keep-attacking-yemen/
http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/07/middleeast/yemen-violence/
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/05/08/266087/un-officials-unhappy-with-saudi.html




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Saudi Yemen bombings renewed hours after due to end

24/4/2015

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PicturePresident Hadi and John Kerry
Just two hours after operation "Decisive Storm", the Saudi-led bombing of Yemen, was supposedly ended, there were renewed airstrikes on a number of targets. The operation had supposedly met its goal although the goal was originally to restore President Hadi to power and defeat the Houthi rebels. The bombings lasted nearly a month and was to be replaced by a new operation called "Renewal of Hope" and is aimed to protect civilians and combat "terrorism". The Houthi rebels are far from defeated, indeed they have seized more territory since the bombing. Al Qaeda in the Arab Peninsula also has seized more territory including Mukalla the capital of Hardramawt province. They have also seized huge amounts of weapons from the former Yemen government stores. The bombings lasted almost a month and in many cases resulted in large numbers of civilian casualties.

Thousands of  Houthi fighters and their supporters took to the streets of the capital Sanaa on Wednesday protesting against the bombings.They were protesting what they claimed was the shelling of residential areas. After "Decisive Storm" was supposedly ended targets in both the city of Taiz and Aden were bombed. In Taiz the Houthis had captured the headquarters of a brigade loyal to the Hadi government. Most officials of the Hadi government including Hadi himself  fled the conflict some time ago to the safety of the Saudi capital Riyadh. The Houthis are mounting a new offensive on Aden from three sides.

The Houthi rebels are supported by Iran. Iran tried to discourage the Houthis from taking the capital last September. Iran wanted a political solution in which a government would be formed agreeable to the Houthis. There were attempts to broker such a government but they never worked out. President Hadi resigned as a result and was held under virtual house arrest but managed to escape to Aden where he rescinded his resignation and declared himself the legitimate president. However, attacks against him in Aden led him to flee the country to Ryadh the capital of Saudi Arabia. The Saudi bombing campaign certainly destroyed a great deal of  Houthi weaponry but also wreaked havoc in the urban areas where many of the bombings took place. The US apparently urged the Saudis to end the campaign because of its negative effects. None of the bombings were directed against AQAP who have used the chaos to extend their control often in alliance with local Sunni tribes. A Saudi prince has promised a free Bentley to up to 100 pilots involved in the Yemen strikes. Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal,  has a $300 million investment in Twitter where he made the pledge. However, the tweet has since been deleted!

On Wednesday, the Houthis had asked for "Decisive Storm" to end and for UN-brokered peace talks, in spite of the fact that the UN negotiations failed before. The UN is hardly a neutral party since it has passed sanctions against two Houthi leaders, and former ex-president Saleh, their ally, as well as imposing an embargo on arms shipments to them. But then the US mediates between Palestine and Israel and it is hardly neutral either. Iran too is in favor of negotiations and a peace deal. Former president Saleh also urged that all sides should "return to dialogue to solve and treat all the issues". In a gesture of goodwill the Houthis released the Hadi defense minister, the brother of president Hadi, and a military commander all of whom had been help captive for nearly a month.

Sources:
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/04/fighting-fresh-air-strikes-mark-phase-yemen-150423001409834.html
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/04/iran-vows-saudi-led-air-strikes-yemen-rebels-150415142527136.html
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3050739/Saudi-prince-pledges-free-Bentley-pilot-involved-Yemen-air-strikes-claimed-1-000-lives.html
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/04/20/carrier-intercepts-iranian-arms/26082755/
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-32411311
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/04/saudi-led-coalition-begins-phase-yemen-campaign-150421155500641.html

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Al Qaeda Group seizes huge weapons depot in Yemen

19/4/2015

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PictureFlag of South Yemen
Since Houthi rebels took over the northern part of Yemen including the capital and advanced south attacking the main southern sea port Aden, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), have been one of the main forces resisting their advance often with local tribal allies.

The chaos and virtual collapse of many forces loyal to Hadi have allowed AQAP to assert control over a great deal more territory including much of the province of Hadramawt and much of its capital Mukalla in early April. The other day it seized the Mukalla airport and a military base on the edge of the city.

US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter and Army General Martin Dempsey both acknowledged that AQAP had been able to take advantage of the chaos in Yemen that has been only exacerbated by the Saudi air strikes, but stopped short of criticizing their Saudi allies. The US may want the Saudis to bomb AQAP as well as the Houthis but then AQAP and its allies are one of the main forces keeping the Houthis from taking over the entire country.

Now it has taken over a huge weapons depot giving it a massive supply of weapons, exactly the sort of event that the US, a big supplier of weapons to Yemen, always fears. The depot was still under control of the Yemeni military but they were no match for the AQAP fighters. Often AQAP meets little resistance since those loyal to Hadi do not want these weapons to fall into the hands of the Houthis. So far Saudi air strikes are directed at the Houthis rather than AQAP but the US has still been using drones to target high value AQAP leaders, having killed one not long ago.

AQAP seized dozens of tanks, Katyusha rocket launchers, and small arms. On Friday evening in a theater in Mukalla hundreds of AQAP fighters and supporters gathered to celebrate their victories, singing war songs, and chanting slogans. In another part of Hadramawt government forces managed to retake an oil field. Saudi air strikes have continued on the capital Sanaa and the port of Aden, and the city of Taiz. Residents are terrified by the bombings and some who originally supported the Saudi intervention are having second thoughts after experiencing the bombings that have caused considerable damage in Sanaa and elsewhere and some civilian casualties.

Resistance in the south particularly in Aden is often by militia associated with southern separatists who although they hate the Houthis have no love for Hadi either and are hoping to use the chaos to advance their cause for an independent or autonomous south Yemen, I notice that in photos from Aden the flags are not those of Yemen but of the independence movement.

Sources:
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/04/16/263492/al-qaida-taking-advantage-of-yemen.html
http://news.yahoo.com/un-calls-274-million-yemen-aid-humanitarian-needs-124502727.html



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    Ken Hanly

    Ken is a retired philosophy professor living in the boondocks of Manitoba, Canada, with his Filipina wife. He enjoys reading the news and writing articles. Politically Ken is on the far left of the political spectrum on many issues.

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